Papers
This section presents a collection of AHP/ANP papers. Whether you are a student, academic and/or professional in the field of decision making, you can help us expand this collection by sharing your papers on decision making with the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the Analytic Network Process (ANP).
Search papers by keyword:
Paper results for keyword: PredictionThe Need for Adding Judgment in Baysian Prediction
Thomas Saaty, Lei ZhangJournal: International Journal of Information Technology & Decision MakingThere are many examples of successful application of the famous Bayes’ theorem to forecast the outcome of causes or influences of events. However, there are also many examples of failures of just using probabilities and statistics without also using judgments in each particular application. This ...
Read MorePrediction of the 1996 super bowl an application of the AHP with feedback
Thomas Saaty, D.S. TurnerJournal: Proceedings of the Fourth International Symposium on the Analytic Hierarchy Process (ISAHP’96)This paper develops a refined benefiticost model using the supermatrix approach of the AHP to predict the outcome of the playoffs and the Super Bowl of the 1995-1996 season. Introduction In October 1995, we undertook the task of predicting (Sooty and Vargas, 1991)' the outcome of the 1996 Sup...
Read MoreHierarchical analysis of behavior in competition: Prediction in chess
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Behavioral scienceIn this paper we use the analytic hierarchy process to combine technical and behavioral characteristics of chess players and predict the outcome of a championship match. The method also applies to decision making in living systems at the level of the group. Our approach to prediction deals with t...
Read More
The Need for Adding Judgment in Baysian Prediction
Thomas Saaty, Lei ZhangJournal: International Journal of Information Technology & Decision MakingThere are many examples of successful application of the famous Bayes’ theorem to forecast the outcome of causes or influences of events. However, there are also many examples of failures of just using probabilities and statistics without also using judgments in each particular application. This ...
Read MorePrediction of the 1996 super bowl an application of the AHP with feedback
Thomas Saaty, D.S. TurnerJournal: Proceedings of the Fourth International Symposium on the Analytic Hierarchy Process (ISAHP’96)This paper develops a refined benefiticost model using the supermatrix approach of the AHP to predict the outcome of the playoffs and the Super Bowl of the 1995-1996 season. Introduction In October 1995, we undertook the task of predicting (Sooty and Vargas, 1991)' the outcome of the 1996 Sup...
Read MoreHierarchical analysis of behavior in competition: Prediction in chess
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Behavioral scienceIn this paper we use the analytic hierarchy process to combine technical and behavioral characteristics of chess players and predict the outcome of a championship match. The method also applies to decision making in living systems at the level of the group. Our approach to prediction deals with t...
Read More